Career Reality Index (India)

Our flagship monthly pressure tracker for Indian careers. Built to reduce expensive guesswork in compensation and switching decisions.

Published: February 22, 2026

Overall Index: 65 (High Pressure)

Month-over-month change: +1 points. Use this as a directional pressure signal, not a personal destiny forecast.

Month Salary Pressure Switch Difficulty Layoff Risk Overall Index
February 2026 72 68 54 65
January 2026 71 66 56 64
December 2025 69 63 58 63
November 2025 67 61 57 62

Salary Pressure (40%)

Input signals: Median compensation movement, offer compression by experience band, and fixed-vs-variable pay drift.

Decision relevance: Most career planning fails when people optimize for headline CTC and miss actual leverage quality.

Switch Difficulty (35%)

Input signals: Interview loop depth, role competition ratio, and time-to-offer friction.

Decision relevance: A role can look attractive on paper but still be hard to enter due to cycle timing and market crowding.

Layoff Risk (25%)

Input signals: Freeze/layoff signal density, report confidence, and persistence over recent weeks.

Decision relevance: Downside risk compounds quietly and affects negotiation power long before formal announcements.

Interpretation Bands

  • 75-100 - Severe Pressure: Protect downside first. Avoid high-risk role jumps without contingency.
  • 65-74 - High Pressure: Prioritize leverage upgrades and preserve optionality.
  • 55-64 - Elevated Pressure: Selective opportunities exist, but decision quality matters more.
  • 45-54 - Moderate Pressure: Balanced window for planned moves with clear rationale.
  • 0-44 - Stable Window: Lower friction environment, still validate role quality.

Early Career (0-3 years)

Use the index to choose skill depth over title optics. In high-pressure months, avoid shallow switches that only rename your role.

Mid Career (4-10 years)

Treat index moves as leverage signals. If pressure rises, tighten negotiation evidence and reassess switching timelines.

Senior/Leadership (10+ years)

Monitor downside asymmetry. High pressure means org-risk and team-stability checks should be explicit before transitions.

FAQ

Is the index predictive?

No. It is directional and designed for decision hygiene, not certainty.

How often is it refreshed?

Monthly baseline updates, plus ad-hoc revisions during major market shocks.

Can one metric override the overall score?

Yes. In individual cases, a sharp move in one component can matter more than the aggregate.

What Changed

  • February 17, 2026: Expanded methodology transparency, interpretation bands, and persona-specific playbooks.
  • February 1, 2026: Refreshed monthly scores and revised layoff signal weighting checks.
  • January 2, 2026: Added switch difficulty component to reduce headline-bias decisions.

Start with Salary Reality, then move to your role domain in Topic Clusters. Use this index as directional context for timing and risk, not a single-point answer.

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Reality Check
Layoff Radar
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