The American Dream Indian Engineers Are Still Chasing — and Why It’s Getting Harder

Mid-level Devs (3-8 YOE), MS Aspirants, H1B Chasers.
Shiv Mishra · December 2025 · Software Engineering
4 min read · Reviewed by Editorial Desk · Correction path: Contact
Last Reality Check: December 24, 2025

Key Takeaways

  • This piece focuses on software engineering realities in India, not outlier narratives.
  • Compensation numbers should be interpreted with role scope, market cycle, and switching friction.
  • Use decision frameworks and evidence checks before acting on title or salary headlines.

On This Page

The Expectation

The playbook has been unchanged since 2010:

  • Take a 40 Lakh loan.
  • Do an MS in CS from a Tier-2 US University.
  • Land a FAANG job paying $150k+.
  • Buy a Tesla, post photos on Instagram.
  • Get a Green Card, buy a house, retire rich.

It’s viewed as the only escape velocity from Indian mediocrity.

The Reality

The Current H1B/Green Card Reality:

📊 US Immigration Timeline for Indians

CategoryEstimated WaitNotes
H1B (India born)25% lottery oddsCan take 3-5 attempts
EB-2 Green Card50-80 yearsBacklog growing
EB-3 Green Card80-100 yearsEven worse
EB-1A (extraordinary ability)1-2 yearsVery high bar
EB-1C (L1A transfer)2-4 yearsRequires managerial role

The Visa Anxiety Tax:

  • Can't switch jobs freely (need new sponsor, transfer process)
  • Layoff = 60 days to find new job or leave country
  • Can't start companies (would lose visa status)
  • Spouse work authorization is complicated
  • Every immigration policy change causes stress
  • Career decisions driven by visa, not optimal choice

Case Study - The Trapped High Earner:

Arjun, 38, Staff Engineer in Seattle:

  • Salary: $320K TC
  • Time in US: 14 years
  • Green Card status: Waiting (EB-2, Priority Date 2015)
  • Estimated wait: 35+ more years
  • Life decisions impacted: Can't start company, limited job movement, stress affects family
  • Current feeling: "Golden cage. Can't leave, can't fully participate."

He earns exceptionally well but can't exercise the freedom that should come with that success.

Related context: Salary Reality Check, CTC Decoder, more in Software Engineering.

Salary and Growth Reality

The Complete US vs India Financial Model:

💰 15-Year Wealth Accumulation Model

FactorUS PathIndia Path
Starting salary (Year 1)$120KRs 25 LPA
Peak salary (Year 15)$280KRs 85 LPA
Annual savings rate25%40%
15-year savings~$800K~Rs 2.5 Cr (~$310K)
Visa stressHighNone
Career flexibilityLimitedFull
Family proximityAnnual visitsDaily

US builds more wealth in absolute dollars. But the gap isn't 5x after costs. And the non-financial factors—family, stress, freedom—don't show up in spreadsheets.

Cross-check your take-home with the CTC Decoder and compare ranges in Salary Reality.

Where Most People Get Stuck

Where US-Based Indians Get Trapped:

The Sunk Cost Fallacy:

"I've invested 10 years here. I can't go back now." But sunk costs are sunk. The question is: what's the best path forward from today?

The Return Fear:

"What will people think if I return?" Social pressure keeps people in situations that no longer serve them. The US narrative is internalized deep.

The Decision Framework:

  1. If Green Card timeline is 40+ years: The math has fundamentally changed. India offers comparable wealth with full freedom.
  2. If you have L1A pathway: This is different—EB-1C can be 2-3 years. Evaluate separately.
  3. If career is suffering due to visa limits: The inability to switch jobs, start companies, or negotiate freely has a real cost.
  4. If family needs are increasing: Aging parents, kids wanting to know grandparents—these get harder with distance.
  5. If savings are the goal: Compare 10-year projection of US savings vs. India savings. The gap may not justify the lifestyle cost.

If this matches your current situation, run the Resignation Risk Analyzer before making your next move.

Who Should Avoid This Path

The US Path Is Wrong For You If:

  • You have elderly parents who need regular care
  • Family proximity is a core value
  • You want to start a company someday
  • Visa uncertainty will cause you chronic anxiety
  • You're optimizing for freedom, not just dollars

The US Path Might Still Work If:

  • You have L1A or other faster immigrant path
  • You're in a field that truly has no equivalent in India (specialized research)
  • You've already built a life (spouse, kids school, community)
  • Your GC is filed before the backlog got extreme
  • The career opportunity genuinely can't exist in India

Decision Framework

Use this quick framework before changing role, company, or specialization.

  • If salary delta is below 25 percent for a switch, optimize for skill depth and scope, not title.
  • If your stack is legacy-only for 12+ months, schedule a transition plan before role lock-in compounds.
  • If role ownership is high but pay is flat, use impact evidence to negotiate before switching.

Common Mistakes Checklist

  • Treating outlier salaries as planning baselines.
  • Using title changes as a substitute for capability changes.
  • Delaying market benchmarking until after compensation stagnates.

Real Scenario Snapshot

A mid-level developer with 5 years in a stable service role gets a title bump but no meaningful scope change. Within 12 months, market interview performance drops due to stale stack exposure.

Originality Lens

Contrarian thesis: Scope quality compounds career value faster than raw coding volume.

Non-obvious signal: Engineers anchored to legacy stacks lose negotiation leverage before they notice compensation drag.

Evidence By Section

Claim: Popular career narratives overweight edge cases and underweight base-rate outcomes.

Evidence: AmbitionBox Salary Insights, Glassdoor India Salaries

Claim: Observed market behavior diverges from social-media compensation storytelling.

Evidence: Glassdoor India Salaries, LinkedIn Jobs (India)

Claim: Salary and growth ranges vary by company type, leverage, and cycle timing.

Evidence: AmbitionBox Salary Insights, Glassdoor India Salaries, LinkedIn Jobs (India), Naukri Jobs (India)

Claim: Career plateaus are often linked to stale scope, weak mobility planning, and evidence gaps.

Evidence: LinkedIn Jobs (India), Naukri Jobs (India)

Final Verdict

The American Dream 2024 Reality:

The American Dream made sense when Green Cards took 5 years. At 50+ years wait time for India-born, the calculus has completely changed. India now offers Rs 1 Cr+ salaries at senior levels, full entrepreneurial freedom, family access, and a fraction of the living costs.

The Uncomfortable Question:

If someone offered you $150K/year with no visa and full freedom in India, vs. $200K/year with 50 years of visa anxiety in the US, which is actually the better deal?

What Actually Works:

  1. Evaluate the math honestly, including non-financial factors
  2. If GC timeline exceeds 30 years, seriously reconsider
  3. Explore L1A or other accelerated paths if committed to US
  4. Build India connections even while in US (easier return)
  5. Make decision based on your values, not social expectations
Last Updated: January 13, 2026
Found a factual error? Request a correction.

What Changed

  • January 13, 2026: Reviewed salary ranges, corrected stale assumptions, and tightened internal links for related reads.
  • December 24, 2025: Revalidated core claims against current hiring and compensation signals.
  • December 24, 2025: Initial publication with baseline market framing and trade-off analysis.

Sources